National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce
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Last Map Update: Sat, Jul 19, 2025 at 3:40:34 am MDT

Daily rounds of afternoon thunderstorms developing over the mountains before moving surrounding lower elevations in the late afternoon and evening continues thru this weekend and into next week. Slow moving thunderstorms producing locally heavy rainfall will continue to threaten flash flooding in low-lying and poorly drained areas, as well as recent burn scars.
A hotter and drier weather pattern is favored for the final week of July. Daily rounds of afternoon thunderstorms developing over the mountains first will remain, but at a lesser coverage.
The thunderstorm threat matrix indicates the probability of thunderstorms over wildfire burn areas.
After a wildfire, flash floods and debris flows can develop abruptly! This includes the Hermits Peak-Calf Canyon wildfire scar in northeastern New Mexico and also the Ruidoso area burn scars. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for Thursday for these areas. Be prepared to take action should a Warning be issued.

 

 
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